LantzNet PolyWeather Signals

Weather market signal research across five core cities

PolyWeather Signals compares multi-source forecast guidance against temperature market pricing for Chicago, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, and San Francisco. The dashboard highlights forecast favorite ranges, blended forecast estimates, YES/NO probability comparisons, source agreement, and risk-aware market signals. Enable JavaScript to view live city-level data.

Interactive city-level data appears after JavaScript loads the dashboard.

Research only. Verify market rules, current prices, liquidity, and official resolution sources before acting on any signal.

Hero Summary

Forecast Signal Summary

Weather intelligence and forecast probability analytics for the selected city, metric, and date.

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Forecast Favorite Range
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The temperature range with the strongest forecast support.
Blended Forecast Estimate
Forecast data unavailable
This estimate blends available forecast sources and model guidance. It may differ from the visible source average when source weighting or model inputs shift the estimate.
Visible Source Average: Forecast data unavailable
Model Confidence Waiting for next scheduled update
How strongly the available data supports the current signal.
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Forecast Spread
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Forecast Spread: Forecast data unavailable | Forecast Disagreement: Waiting for next scheduled update
Lowest-Risk NO Candidate
No current signal available
A NO position with strong forecast support and lower ambiguity, if one qualifies.
Source Agreement
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How closely forecast sources cluster around the same high-temperature outcome.
Data Health
Operational status for forecast and market signal reliability.
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Research only · Not financial or betting advice · Always verify market rules, liquidity, and official resolution sources before acting on any signal.
How to Read This Dashboard ▼
Forecast Probability — What the weather model stack thinks is likely for a given temperature range, based on multiple forecast sources blended together.
Market Implied Probability — What the current prediction market price suggests the probability is for a given outcome.
Forecast vs Market Pricing — Comparison of model-estimated probability against available market pricing.
Model Confidence — How strongly the available data supports the current signal.
This dashboard is for research only. Always verify market rules, resolution criteria, current prices, and liquidity before acting on any signal.

Use these tools to inspect the exact city payload behind the signal.

Research only. Verify market rules, liquidity, and official resolution sources.

Forecast Source Breakdown
See the forecast inputs behind the probability model before reviewing market edges.
Forecast data unavailable
Source Agreement
Quickly gauge how aligned the source forecasts are before acting.
Source agreement is unavailable for this city/date.
● Top NO Edge
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⚠ Ranges to Treat Cautiously
Lowest-Risk NO Candidate
Review lower-risk NO signal candidates first, especially ranges where forecast probability remains limited while market pricing stays elevated. Use sort and filter controls to surface cleaner analytical setups, then expand only the rows you want to inspect.
Probability Distribution
Where is forecast probability concentrated across the range?
Model Confidence: Waiting for next scheduled update
Forecast Probability Market Implied Favorable Edge Overpriced Neutral / Low confidence
No current signal available.
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Market Pricing vs Forecast Model
Model Details ▼
Local Forecast
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Calibration — Last 30 Days
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Calibration Details
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